39 forecasters

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40%chance

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Jul 31, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 2, 2023

Will Your Donation To Your Alma Mater Remain Tax Deductible?

Forbes•Oct 27, 2025

Conservative Harvard students expose fear of academic reprisal, social shunning over right-wing beliefs

FOX News•Oct 27, 2025

Initial Data Suggest Decrease In Black Freshman At Selective Colleges

Forbes•Oct 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

What will the Harvard admit rate be for the undergraduate class of 2029?