38 forecasters

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

Current estimate

25 Sep 2029

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Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 28, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 30, 2023

Environment & Climate

What are climate tipping points? They sound scary, especially for ice sheets and oceans, but there’s still room for optimism

The Conversation•Oct 14, 2025

Key climate tipping point is BREACHED for the first time – and scientists warn it will cause ‘catastrophic harm’ unless urgent action is taken

Daily Mail•Oct 13, 2025

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When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

(Nov 2039 - >2100)

(Nov 2039 - >2100)

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

33.8B billion tonnes

33.8B billion tonnes

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?