95 forecasters

Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?

0.5%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 2, 2023

Closes:

Jul 21, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 22, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 4, 2023

Stunning moment UFO deflects Hellfire missile ignites debate over 'non-human' technology

Daily Mail•Sep 11, 2025

Declassified Video Shows US Trying to Shoot Down UFO

Newsweek•Sep 10, 2025

Group of military whistleblowers testify under oath they’ve seen UFOs and the government is part of a cover up

Independent•Sep 10, 2025

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