Question

Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction

(0.2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Aug 2, 2023

Closes:

Jul 21, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 22, 2028

Technology

Astronomy

Physics

Director of National Intelligence

Unidentified flying object

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Folklore

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Pentagon Officials 'Mystified' by Drone Incursions, New Clip Teases

Newsweek•Mar 11, 2025

Trump Pentagon pick spoke at an alien conspiracy conference

Raw Story•Mar 11, 2025

‘80 years of lies and deception’: is this film proof of alien life on Earth?

Guardian•Mar 13, 2025

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Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

50%

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Aug 2, 2023

Closes:

Jul 21, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 22, 2028

Technology

Astronomy

Physics

Director of National Intelligence

Unidentified flying object

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Folklore

2018 US House of Representatives elections

Pentagon Officials 'Mystified' by Drone Incursions, New Clip Teases

Newsweek•Mar 11, 2025

Trump Pentagon pick spoke at an alien conspiracy conference

Raw Story•Mar 11, 2025

‘80 years of lies and deception’: is this film proof of alien life on Earth?

Guardian•Mar 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

50%