417 forecasters

Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

10%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 26, 2023

Closes:

Jul 1, 2024

Resolved:

Aug 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 26, 2023