111 forecasters

Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?

52%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 52% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 29, 2023

Closes:

Aug 3, 2023

Resolved:

Aug 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 29, 2023