Question
When will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved?
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction
Nov 2051
(Sep 2035 - 2078)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Sep 2035 | — |
| median | Nov 2051 | — |
| upper 75% | 2078 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2080 | 23.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2079
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2080
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
1%
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
169
When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?
>Dec 2039
Authors:
Opened:Aug 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2079
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2080
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
1%
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
169
When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?
>Dec 2039