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9 forecasters
In what year will satellite-based monitoring systems first accurately measure global CO2 and CH4 emissions in real-time?
Current estimate
03 Jun 2029
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2023
When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?
2034
(2031 - 2040)
2034
(2031 - 2040)
6 forecasters
Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?
37.1% chance
16
Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?
5% chance
21