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492 forecasters
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 8, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023