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2
40 forecasters
5
2 comments
40 forecasters
Superconductor Frontiers
condition

Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025

Resolved:No
40 forecasters
if yes
if no

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
if Yes5%
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8 comments95 forecasters

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2030?

0.3%chance
12 comments69 forecasters

Date for room-temp superconductivity?

Current estimate
Oct 2052
8 comments18 forecasters

High Temperature Superconductor Progress?

1 comment20 forecasters

Room Temperature Superconductor in MRI?

Current estimate
>Dec 2039
4 comments3 forecasters

Non-superconducting below-threshold QEC before 2029?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 weeks
%chance
30 comments44 forecasters

Will quantum consciousness be the consensus before 2075?

5%chance
1 comment14 forecasters

General biological manufacturing platform before 2035?

29.3%chance
4 comments23 forecasters

Feasible Nanotechnology

205077%
204050%
203016%