141 forecasters

Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023?

1%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 10, 2023

Closes:

Oct 1, 2023

Resolved:

Oct 3, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 11, 2023