Question

Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.7
Community Peer Score
6.8
Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2023
Closes:Nov 6, 2024
Resolves:Nov 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 9, 2023