81 comments
142 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Feb 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2023
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
803
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
28 forecasters