142 forecasters

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 2, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Feb 21, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 4, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Jury seated in trial of man accused of Trump assassination attempt

FOX News•Sep 11, 2025

Ask Jordan: Would the Supreme Court let Trump run for a third presidential term?

MSNBC•Sep 10, 2025

Michigan dismissal highlights the challenges in prosecuting cases against Trump’s 2020 fake electors

Associated Press•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch