45 forecasters

Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?

0.5%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 7, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 19, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 8, 2023