Question

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

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Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction

37.1%

(30% - 50%)

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50%

community: 37.1%

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Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Oct 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2023

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Aerospace engineering

ESA-Funded Study Aims To Protect 30 Percent Of Earth’s Ocean Habitats

Forbes•Jun 23, 2025

Mexican Sewage Flooding Into California Can Be Seen From Space

Newsweek•Jun 19, 2025

Ocean Acidification Will Be So Bad That We Need A New Indicator For It

Forbes•Jun 19, 2025

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Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

37.1%

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

In what year will satellite-based monitoring systems first accurately measure global CO2 and CH4 emissions in real-time?

26 Jun 2028

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Oct 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2023

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Aerospace engineering

ESA-Funded Study Aims To Protect 30 Percent Of Earth’s Ocean Habitats

Forbes•Jun 23, 2025

Mexican Sewage Flooding Into California Can Be Seen From Space

Newsweek•Jun 19, 2025

Ocean Acidification Will Be So Bad That We Need A New Indicator For It

Forbes•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

37.1%

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

In what year will satellite-based monitoring systems first accurately measure global CO2 and CH4 emissions in real-time?

26 Jun 2028