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260 comments
406 forecasters

Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?

Alaskaresult: Yes
Ohioresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:Aug 11, 2023
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Jan 6, 2025
Elections
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

2024
No
2028
1%
2032
5%
6 others
25 forecasters

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

1% chance
21

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
15%
1 other
46 forecasters
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