Question
How much will Donald Trump's Republican primary polling average change two weeks after the first debate?
Resolved:0.8Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
-1.52
(-3.14 - 0.0773)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-8 | 1.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -3.143 | — |
| median | -1.518 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.07733 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >8 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?0.8
Community Peer Score
3.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2023
