30 forecasters

How much will Donald Trump's Republican primary polling average change two weeks after the first debate?

community

-1.52

result

0.8

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

RyanBeck NMorrison

Opened:

Aug 10, 2023

Closes:

Sep 1, 2023

Resolved:

Sep 7, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 11, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

Nate Silver Outlines Four 'Distinct Periods' in Trump's Approval Rating

Newsweek•Sep 15, 2025

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Nosedives In Key Battleground County He Won

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2025

David Jolly's Chances of Beating Byron Donalds To Flip Florida—Poll

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch