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What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below?

7
12 comments12
38 forecasters

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Authors:
IY
Opened:Aug 13, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 29, 2023
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

5%
Authors:
IY
Opened:Aug 13, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 29, 2023
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

5%
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