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12 comments
38 forecasters

What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below?

Authors:
IY
Opened:Aug 13, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolved:Sep 29, 2023
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low
94.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
4.9%
High (or above, such as Very High)
1%
50 forecasters

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?

80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
15 forecasters

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

22% chance
47
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