Question
What will be the official death count for the 2023 Hawai'i wildfires as of January 1, 2024?
Resolved:100Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
113
(73.8 - 157)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 73.77 | — |
| median | 112.6 | — |
| upper 75% | 157.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5000 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?100
Community Baseline Score
150.7
Community Peer Score
26.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2023