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31 forecasters

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31 forecasters

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

57%chance

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4 comments24 forecasters

Chalmers Says AI Conscious By 2030?

26 comments1.5k forecasters

AI given rights in US before 2035

2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

51 comments344 forecasters

Time From (weak) AGI to Superintelligence

Current estimate

30 comments44 forecasters

Will quantum consciousness be the consensus before 2075?

14 comments62 forecasters

AI resolving questions on Metaculus

101 comments468 forecasters

ASI Transition Beneficial for Humanity

11 comments173 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?