9 comments
51 forecasters
Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election?
75%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2023
Closes:Aug 19, 2023
Resolved:Aug 21, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2023
Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?
36
Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?
50% chance
97
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?
25% chance
53