43 comments
525 forecasters
By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?
30%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2016
Closes:Oct 1, 2018
Resolved:Jan 21, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2016
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Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55% chance
8
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
30.1 babies
(4.28 - 637)
30.1 babies
(4.28 - 637)
117 forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Aug 2036
(Jun 2032 - >Mar 2041)
Aug 2036
(Jun 2032 - >Mar 2041)
4 forecasters