43 comments
525 forecasters
By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?
30%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2016
Closes:Oct 1, 2018
Resolved:Jan 21, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2016
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55% chance
8
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
36 babies
(4.64 - 685)
36 babies
(4.64 - 685)
117 forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Mar 2035
(Jul 2031 - Nov 2038)
Mar 2035
(Jul 2031 - Nov 2038)
4 forecasters