20 forecasters

Will average NAEP reading and math scores across 4th and 8th grades decline in 2024 compared to 2022?

27%chance

27%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 27% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 25, 2023

Closes:

Sep 1, 2024

Resolved:

Feb 3, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 27, 2023

2021-2025 Leaderboard

What’s caused reading scores to drop to worst point in decades? Education expert weighs in

PBS NewsHour•Sep 16, 2025

Teachers React to Low Reading, Math Scores: 'Sounding the Alarm for Years'

Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025

NAEP’s Red Alert: It’s Time To Modernize Expectations For High Schools

Forbes•Sep 10, 2025

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