• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
238 comments
223 forecasters

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

J.D. Vanceresult: Yes
Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No
Donald Trump Jr.result: No
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:Aug 26, 2023
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Elections
Politics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
FOX News logo
Nation's only two 2025 races for governor rocked with three weeks until Election Day
FOX News•Oct 14, 2025
NBC logo
Can Republicans turn out Trump voters when he isn't on the ballot? They'll find out in New Jersey
NBC•Oct 14, 2025
Daily Caller logo
Patrick Bet-David Predicts Dems Will Campaign In ‘Weirdest Way’ For 2028, Try To ‘Build Up Trump’ While Knocking Vance
Daily Caller•Oct 14, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

JD Vance
56.6%
Other
25.3%
Marco Rubio
8.1%
5 others
193 forecasters

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1% chance
803

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

2.5% chance
172
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature