94 forecasters

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

16%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 9, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2023

The Taiwan Tinderbox

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New rules allow Taiwanese troops to shoot down drones with light weapons or jammers

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