187 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%

Velyka Novosilka99%

Kostyantynivka80%

Ivanivske

Velyka Novosilka

Kostyantynivka

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 2, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2027

Russia’s Putin hails war advances; Ukraine retakes parts of Donetsk

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Despair and destruction: Civilians in Ukraine’s eastern strongholds struggle as Russia advances

Associated Press•Sep 10, 2025

Charting the past year of Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukraine

Al Jazeera•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch