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90 comments
187 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%
Velyka Novosilka99%
Kostyantynivka85%
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:Sep 2, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2027
Geopolitics
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Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Nova Kakhovka
7.6%
Tokmak
4%
Polohy
4%
11 others
97 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2% chance
196

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

1% chance
425
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