Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
6
40
forecasters
3
6 comments
40 forecasters
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
2 more...
What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?
Follow
share
embed
community
4.45
result
6.6
Resolved
6.6
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (6)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
0 comments
9 forecasters
What will Dems' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?
Current estimate
6.98%
5 comments
60 forecasters
GOP House advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
-8.35 seats
2 comments
93 forecasters
US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
20%
2027-2028
24%
6 comments
56 forecasters
GOP Senate advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
0.66 seats
0 comments
6 forecasters
What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
5 comments
117 forecasters
US Congress Control After 2026 Midterms
Dem Senate / Dem House
38.5%
Rep Senate / Rep House
12.7%
Dem Senate / Rep House
2%
Rep Senate / Dem House
46.8%
28 comments
561 forecasters
US House plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
84%
Republicans
15.9%
Other
0.1%
0 comments
57 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?
Georgia
84%
Iowa
39%
Maine
68%
Michigan
75%
19 others