Question
What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :6.64.45Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction4.45 (0.672 - 7.16)
Make a Prediction
My Prediction
community<-25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
0.6723
4.451
7.16
0.4%
What was the final result?6.6
Community Baseline Score
41.1
Community Peer Score
6.6
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