Question

Will a non-proprietary LLM be in the top 5 of the chat.lmsys.org leaderboard on September 30, 2023?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction
1%
(0.2% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
66.2
Community Peer Score
22.7
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Sep 30, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 8, 2023