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35
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74
forecasters
Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
25%
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Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:
Aug 29, 2023
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 30, 2023
Technology
Geopolitics
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Satellites Reveal China’s Major Aircraft Carrier Updates
Newsweek
•
Nov 3, 2025
US Carrier Loses Two Aircraft In 30 Minutes Over Chinese-Claimed Waters
Daily Caller
•
Oct 28, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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