Question

Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

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Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction

37.1%

(18% - 38%)

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50%

community: 37.1%

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Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Oct 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2023

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

International Law Enforcement Academy

Astrophysics

Geography

Environmental science

Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing

Earth observation satellite

ESA-Funded Study Aims To Protect 30 Percent Of Earth’s Ocean Habitats

Forbes•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

37.1%

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

69.1%

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Oct 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2023

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

International Law Enforcement Academy

Astrophysics

Geography

Environmental science

Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing

Earth observation satellite

ESA-Funded Study Aims To Protect 30 Percent Of Earth’s Ocean Habitats

Forbes•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

37.1%

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

69.1%