8 comments
22 forecasters
Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?
27.5%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2023
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When will the United States abolish physical, non-interest bearing cash?
>Dec 2049
(Jul 2038 - >Dec 2049)
>Dec 2049
(Jul 2038 - >Dec 2049)
19 forecasters
What share of all payments (in percent) in the United States will be transacted and settled in real-time in 2028?
4.83%
(1.25 - 15.8)
4.83%
(1.25 - 15.8)
8 forecasters
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?
89.8% chance
20