Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
6
45
forecasters
6
6 comments
45 forecasters
Computing and Math
2 more...
Will large language models become the state of the art for machine translation in 2023?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (6)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
11 comments
20 forecasters
Transformers Still SoTA in 2027?
98%
chance
5 comments
10 forecasters
When will LLMs beat superforecasters at ForecastBench?
Current estimate
09 Feb 2028
3 comments
19 forecasters
Russian LLM in Chatbot Arena top 100 before 2027?
14.5%
chance
13 comments
13 forecasters
5 million token context AI
Current estimate
01 Nov 2026
10 comments
53 forecasters
Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030
Current estimate
1.29M B
8 comments
37 forecasters
Development of Human-Level Language Models
Current estimate
18 Feb 2024
6 comments
60 forecasters
When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be publicly available?
Current estimate
26 Dec 2027
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027