10
51 forecasters
Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?
20%chance
Top Key Factors
Mexican government may cooperate
Decreases Likelihood
Trump suggests U.S. military will hit cartels on ‘land’ in Mexicocnbc.com•Jan 9, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Mexican government may cooperate
Decreases Likelihood
Trump suggests U.S. military will hit cartels on ‘land’ in Mexicocnbc.com•Jan 9, 2026
Increases Likelihood