22 comments
79 forecasters
Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
75%chance
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2023
Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?
3% chance
782
How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?
6 metro areas
(5 - 8)
6 metro areas
(5 - 8)
100 forecasters
Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?
3% chance
54