106 forecasters

Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?

99%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 29, 2023

Closes:

Feb 23, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 24, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2023

Putin told US he will occupy Donbas region by end of 2025, Zelensky claims

Independent•Sep 10, 2025

Putin told US he will occupy Donbas region by end of 2025, Zelensky claims

Independent•Sep 9, 2025

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