Question

Will a US spot Ethereum ETF be approved in 2023?

Resolved:No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction

(0.6% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

65.6

Community Peer Score

7.9

Authors:

foresightbureau

Opened:

Sep 8, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2023

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

History suggests Bitcoin taps $330K, crypto ETF odds hit 90%: Hodler’s Digest, June 15 – 21

•Jun 22, 2025

Coinbase seeking SEC approval to offer blockchain-based stocks

New York Post•Jun 17, 2025

Trump Media Joins Crypto ETF Race with Bitcoin and Ethereum Fund Proposal

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?

10%

What will the price of ETH be in USD on December 31, 2027?

5888

What will the total supply of Ether on the Ethereum blockchain be on Dec 15, 2029 at 11:59pm?

118M

Authors:

foresightbureau

Opened:

Sep 8, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2023

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

History suggests Bitcoin taps $330K, crypto ETF odds hit 90%: Hodler’s Digest, June 15 – 21

•Jun 22, 2025

Coinbase seeking SEC approval to offer blockchain-based stocks

New York Post•Jun 17, 2025

Trump Media Joins Crypto ETF Race with Bitcoin and Ethereum Fund Proposal

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?

10%

What will the price of ETH be in USD on December 31, 2027?

5888

What will the total supply of Ether on the Ethereum blockchain be on Dec 15, 2029 at 11:59pm?

118M