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1
11 forecasters
3
1 comment
11 forecasters
Law
condition

Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024?

Resolved:Yes
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

Joe Biden Impeached by House?

42%
42%
Resolved:No

Joe Biden Impeached by House?

20%
20%
Resolved:Annulled
if No20%
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1 comment90 forecasters

DOJ to indict high-profile US president opponent in these years?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: Yes
2025-202663%
2027-202862%
16 comments20 forecasters

Trump confinement date

Current estimate
01 Sep 2029
14 comments504 forecasters

Federal judge impeached by Republicans before Jan 3, 2027?

7%chance
4 comments98 forecasters

Philippines VP Sara Duterte removed from office before Sept 2026?

5%chance
0 comments91 forecasters

Will a US federal judge be impeached in a partisan vote in these years?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202612%
2027-202818%
2 comments27 forecasters

Joe Biden's autopen orders declared 'null and void' before 2026 midterms?

5.4%chance
207 comments818 forecasters

Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?

2%chance
3 comments20 forecasters

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted by the ICC by 2030?

75%chance