5 comments
80 forecasters
Will the US pass the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) Disclosure Act of 2023 before October 1, 2023?
1.5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolved:Oct 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2023
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Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
168
Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?
6% chance
123
Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?
0.1% chance
22