Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

condition

Next US Economic Recession? (2025)

Closed

20 forecasters

if yes

if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

44%

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

55%

0 comments

20 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Next US Economic Recession? (2025)	Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 44%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

if Yes

if No

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 20, 2023

Closed:

Nov 5, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2027

Elections

Politics

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Economists expect faster growth, but weaker job gains, through 2025

CBS•Oct 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55% chance

136

Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner

60%

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election

40%

3 forecasters

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 20, 2023

Closed:

Nov 5, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2027

Elections

Politics

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Economists expect faster growth, but weaker job gains, through 2025

CBS•Oct 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55% chance

136

Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner

60%

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election

40%

3 forecasters