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21 forecasters

3

21 forecasters

Will the listed AI companies/labs create a board risk committee before January 1st, 2025?

OpenAIresult: Yes

Anthropicresult: No

Google DeepMindresult: No

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6 comments97 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?

15 comments41 forecasters

Leading Lab No Safety

2026result: Yes

4 comments53 forecasters

US govt maintain list of AI safety incidents by 2030?

5 comments90 forecasters

Before 2029, will a new AI safety org form with 3+ G7 members?

3 comments50 forecasters

AI labs collaborate at least a little on safety in 2030?

12 comments128 forecasters

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

7 comments113 forecasters

Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?

10 comments41 forecasters

Number of New Leading AI Labs