Question

Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
65%
(54% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
19.3
Community Peer Score
8.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolves:Jan 2, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 24, 2023