152 forecasters

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

15%chance

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2023

NATO Country Could Deploy Troops to Ukraine: Defense Secretary

Newsweek•Oct 21, 2025

Ukraine does not need a NATO Article 5-like guarantee

Al Jazeera•Oct 20, 2025

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