195 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2%chance

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Authors:

TimeTraveller34

Opened:

Sep 23, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 24, 2023

Russia Planning Two More Major Offensives, Zelensky Warns

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025

Terrifying moment kamikaze drone blows up Ukrainian university - as Zelensky calls on Europe to create an air defence 'umbrella'

Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2025

Russian occupiers brought death and intimidation to Kherson: Ukrainian teen

Al Jazeera•Sep 15, 2025

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