32 comments
49 forecasters
Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?
Mikhail Mishustin10.1%
Dmitry Medvedev4.6%
Nikolai Patrushev3%
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 26, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
13 Feb 2030
(24 Dec 2027 - Feb 2032)
13 Feb 2030
(24 Dec 2027 - Feb 2032)
662 forecasters
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
12.5% chance
141
Will Yulia Navalnaya ever become president or prime minister of Russia?
1% chance
46