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17 forecasters

4

17 forecasters

Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025?

OpenAIresult: Yes

Google DeepMindresult: No

Anthropicresult: No

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5 comments29 forecasters

OpenAI Triggers 'Assist Clause'

6 comments97 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?

1 comment40 forecasters

5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?

12 comments128 forecasters

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

15 comments41 forecasters

Leading Lab No Safety

2026result: Yes

3 comments50 forecasters

AI labs collaborate at least a little on safety in 2030?

18 comments93 forecasters

Year OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic reach valuation of $1 trillion?

7 comments113 forecasters

Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?