Group

Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025?

3 comments3

17 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 16

OpenAI

Anthropic

Google DeepMind

Make a Prediction

Company		My Prediction		Me
Google DeepMind	no

OpenAI	yes

Anthropic	no

Resolved Dec 31, 2024

Community Peer Score

7.1

Authors:

jleibowich will_aldred

Opened:

Sep 29, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

AI Safety

Artificial Intelligence

Computing and Math

2021-2025 Leaderboard

OpenAI Delaying Open-Weight Model to Run Safety Tests: Sam Altman

Business Insider•Jul 12, 2025

OpenAI delays the release of its open model, again

TechCrunch•Jul 12, 2025

Talent Drain: How Tech Giants Are Hollowing Out AI Startups and Why Investors Should Short the Overvalued

•Jul 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years?

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?